2026-05-24 · Insider activity
Mega-cap insiders are net-selling. No buys anywhere in our universe.
Pulled SEC EDGAR Form 4 filings across 11 TradFi mega-caps for the last 30 days. After filtering out RSU vesting (code M) and tax withholding (code F), the real picture:
- META — 0 open-market buys, 32 open-market sells, net −$14.7M
- MSTR — 0 open-market buys, 27 open-market sells, net −$4.8M
- TSLA · NVDA · AAPL · GOOGL · AMZN · PLTR · COIN · HOOD — zero open-market buys
Net: no insider is buying their own stock with cash. Two are selling materially. Our v1 ranker — which counted filing density — would have flagged META as a top "cluster" signal. The deep-parse filter caught it before the strategy fired LONG into a wall of insider selling.
Source: SEC EDGAR Form 4 (public, free) · Engine v0.5.1 ·
repo2026-05-24 · ORACLE macro candidates
Market consensus: 97.6% no change at June FOMC.
Our ORACLE macro scanner matched the upcoming Fed meeting (24 days out) against active Polymarket markets:
- "No change in Fed rates after June meeting" — YES $0.976 · liquidity $720K · vol24h $191K
- "Fed +50bps after June meeting" — YES $0.003 · liquidity $1.89M · vol24h $204K
- "Fed −50bps after June meeting" — YES $0.005 · liquidity $374K · vol24h $361K
Consensus is concentrated at "no change". The +50bps market has the deepest liquidity but lowest implied probability — that’s where size hedges sit, not directional bets. For a contrarian view, the +50bps market offers ~200× payout if you’re right.
Source: Polymarket gamma API (public, free) + hand-curated US macro calendar.
